Risk Score: 85/100 — Critical Gap
Contents
I. Current Production Capacity
45,000 metric tons annually (2025)
II. Critical Chokepoints
Limited domestic processing facilities, heavy reliance on China for refining and magnet manufacturing
III. Supply Chain Risk Assessment
High dependence on foreign supply chains, particularly China, for critical materials and processing capabilities
IV. Wartime Economics & Industrial Mobilization
Significant delays in scaling up production capacity, with mobilization timelines extending several years
V. Key Findings & Strategic Implications
Urgent need for investment in domestic processing infrastructure to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains and enhance national resilience
This was visible months ago due to foresight analysis.
